According to available information, there has been no abuse of the Internet for traditional
terrorist purposes or cyber terrorism in BiH so far.
According to available information, there are several web sites in Bosnia and Herzegovina
which, according to their content, incite or call for intolerance, even hatred. These are
mainly web sites hosted outside Bosnia and Herzegovina, in other European countries
(Austria, Germany, Norway, etc). It is believed that free Internet distribution of such
contents, which openly call to violence and retaliation, considerably motivates consumers
of such sites to display intolerance and hatred and to spread negative atmosphere and
create an overall negative security and safety situation in Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Additionally, individuals use such web sites to state their verbal support to some global
terrorist organizations and movements by broadcasting videos produced by the media
outlet supported by Al Qaida. Some videos openly call to violence and retaliation against
the coalition troops in Iraq and Afghanistan. In some cases, the Internet was used to incite
national intolerance, conflict, to frighten other ethnic and religious groups.
4.2. Assessment of potential terrorist-related threats in BiH
The security situation in BiH is still heavily burdened by various problems, which is
manifested, inter alia, through nationalism- or religion-driven acts of intolerance,
provocations and even violence. A great number of individuals participate in such
activities, though at various degrees and with different roles. The total of available
information makes us believe that nationalism- and religion-driven acts of violence in
various forms will remain a problem that will block BiH’s progress in the future, although
the system is trying to eliminate or alleviate it.
The security situation in BiH will be crucially affected by the development and outcome of
the world economic crisis. With the current negative trend, and especially if the impact of
the global economic crisis deepens, it is expected not only that all forms of illegal activities
in BiH will persist but that they will be intensified, which will create new negative aspects
and further complicate security circumstances. Since the 2009 assessments do not predict
changes in the current financial and economic trends, the potential negative impact seems
even more likely.
If the economic crisis persists and becomes more complicated, all aspects of violent may
increase in scope and content. If the economic/social dissatisfaction grows, this may result
in various politically motivated negative displays of intolerance towards representatives of
other social and political groups, as well as other ethnic and religious groups. In that
context, we must not dismiss the possibility of massive rallies with some elements of
violent behavior, but also individual illegal violent acts, used by individuals and groups to
express their negative views and even the intent to make the economic situation ever worse
by jeopardizing lives and property of citizens.
We cannot entirely dismiss a situation where announced protest rallies, with different
motives and causes, could be used by some individuals or groups of security significance,
or other disgruntled persons, who might, wittingly or with no regard for consequences of
their actions, independently or encouraged by someone, create some type of threat or apply
different forms of violence against current authorities in BiH and the entities, but also the
facilities they work or stay in or the assets they use.
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