RESOLUTION on the National Security Strategy of the Republic of Slovenia (ReSNV-2) RESOLUCIJA o strategiji nacionalne varnosti Republike Slovenije (ReSNV-2) Therefore it is characteristic of the Euro-Atlantic area – of which the European Union and NATO represent the key contributors to preserving and ensuring international peace and security – to engage in international forms of integration and cooperation in the areas of foreign policy, economy, culture, science, technology, security, defence, intelligence, protection and rescue, and others, which lead to better security and stability in this area. Nevertheless, the stability and security of the Euro-Atlantic area are highly dependent on the process of the further strengthening of the European Union and NATO. nobena država svoje (nacionalne) varnosti ne more več zagotavljati povsem samostojno. Zato je predvsem za evroatlantski prostor, v katerem sta ključna dejavnika ohranjanja in zagotavljanja mednarodnega miru in varnosti Evropska unija in Nato, značilno zunanjepolitično, gospodarsko, kulturno, znanstvenotehnološko, varnostno, obrambno, obveščevalno-varnostno, zaščitno-reševalno ter drugo povezovanje in sodelovanje držav, kar prinaša temu prostoru kot celoti večjo varnost in stabilnost. Stabilnost in varnost evroatlantskega prostora sta močno odvisni tudi od procesa nadaljnje krepitve Evropske unije in Nata. 4. Threats and Risks to the National Security of the Republic of Slovenia 4. Grožnje in tveganja nacionalne varnosti Republike Slovenije Both the international and the national security environments face various contemporary sources of security threats and risks brought about by state and non-state entities whose nature is complex and often difficult to predict, and which may have a multiplicative character and effect. The Republic of Slovenia is more sensitive to these sources of threats and risks on account of its size, geographical diversity, limited natural resources, lack of natural barriers, and integration into the international environment. V mednarodnem in nacionalnovarnostnem okolju se soočamo z raznovrstnimi sodobnimi viri ogrožanja in tveganja varnosti. Njihovi nosilci so tako državni kot nedržavni akterji, po naravi pa so kompleksni, pogosto težko predvidljivi ter imajo lahko multiplikativni značaj in učinek. Republika Slovenija je na različne vire tveganja in ogrožanja dodatno občutljiva zaradi velikosti ozemlja, svoje geografske raznolikosti, omejenosti naravnih virov, ozemeljske prehodnosti ter vpetosti v mednarodno okolje. Threats are defined as sources of threat and activities which may threaten the national security of the Republic of Slovenia and its interests and objectives. Risks are defined as the exposure of the Republic of Slovenia and its interests and objectives to individual threats; they depend on the vulnerability and capability of the state to counter those threats and respond to them. Grožnje opredeljujemo kot vire ogrožanj in aktivnosti, ki bi lahko ogrozili nacionalno varnost Republike Slovenije ter njene cilje in interese. Tveganja opredeljujemo kot izpostavljenost Republike Slovenije ter njenih ciljev in interesov posameznim grožnjam, odvisna so od ranljivosti in zmogljivosti države, da se zoperstavi in odzove na te grožnje. Due to the nature and manifestations of contemporary threats, it is difficult to draw a clear line between global and national threats. Individual threats may change in form and the degree of the threat to the national security of the Republic of Slovenia over time. The national security of the Republic of Slovenia is affected by some contemporary threats, even if they do not occur directly in the territory of the Republic of Slovenia or in its immediate neighbourhood. Zaradi narave in pojavnih oblik sodobnih groženj je težko določiti jasno razmejitev med globalnimi in zgolj nacionalnimi grožnjami. Posamezne grožnje lahko s časom spreminjajo svojo pojavno obliko in stopnjo ogrožanja nacionalne varnosti Republike Slovenije. Na nacionalno varnost Republike Slovenije vplivajo nekatere sodobne grožnje, tudi če se te ne pojavljajo neposredno na ozemlju Republike Slovenije ali v njeni neposredni okoliščini. In order to effectively monitor and respond to the rapidly changing security environment, a national assessment of security risks and threats will be prepared annually. Z namenom učinkovitega spremljanja in odzivanja na hitro spreminjajoče se varnostno okolje bo letno izdelana nacionalna ocena varnostnih tveganj in groženj. 4.1. Hybrid Threats 4.1. Hibridne grožnje Hybrid threats are not new forms of threats, but the implications of pre-existing subversive forms whose speed, scale, and frequency of occurrence have been reinforced by modern technologies. Hybrid threats are multidimensional and horizontally dispersed, and include political, diplomatic, information, military, economic, financial, intelligence, and legal aspects. Each hybrid scenario may be different, and the response must be tailored accordingly. Hybrid threats represent an interconnected, complex, unpredictable, and highly integrated use of a covert or overt combination of traditional and irregular military, civilian, and criminal methods and assets, which are managed and 12 Hibridne grožnje niso nove oblike groženj, ampak implikacije že obstoječih subverzivnih oblik, katerih hitrost, obseg in pogostost pojavljanja so se s pomočjo sodobnih tehnologij okrepili. Hibridne grožnje so večdimenzionalne, izredno horizontalno razpršene in zajemajo predvsem političnodiplomatski, informacijski, vojaški, gospodarski, finančni, obveščevalni in pravni vidik, pri čemer je vsak hibridni scenarij lahko drugačen, zato morajo biti temu prilagojeni tudi odzivi. Hibridne grožnje predstavljajo medsebojno povezano, kompleksno in nepredvidljivo visokointegrirano uporabo prikrite ali odkrite kombinacije 13