some democracies thus reinforcing other negative phenomena that create instability. In these
conditions, the Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) and its coherence become more
important than ever. The weakening of the ties that keep the European Union together may bring
Russia to understanding that its aggressive policies are working and encourage it to proceed with
its power politics.
Threats have become more complex and their sources more varied in recent decades.
Asymmetric threats that know no state borders and whose sources are difficult to detect have
emerged and their impact on security is comparable to traditional security threats. Today it is
increasingly clear that security is influenced by economic instability; developments in the
cyberspace; technology-related threats; radicalisation and terrorism; organised crime and
corruption; migration flows; and variety of other emergencies.
The instability of the global economy makes the international security environment more
complicated and reduces the ability of states and international organisations to react. The
Estonian economy is closely connected to the worlds’. Estonia is therefore significantly
influenced by global trends, including economic crises and the instability of important
international markets. As a small country, Estonia is more vulnerable to changes in the global
economic environment than large ones, since such changes have a faster and deeper impact on a
small state, which is less able to manage risks and deal with their consequences. Changes in the
global energy market, as well as in the established structure of energy supply between the
European Union and Russia, may affect the Estonian economy.
The cyberspace has transformed human interaction and has become a part of global human
development, but also a political and military battleground; public services depend on it.
Information and communication technology and media can be used even more effectively to
influence people and their level of information how people are informed. The influence of the
reality distorting information has created tension in international relations, caused the
radicalisation of certain groups and harmed the cohesion of society. Manipulating with and
spreading of false information is widely used, also on a state level, to escalate conflicts. The
number of violations in the cyberspace is increasing, and the perpetrators include terrorist groups
and organised crime syndicates. Attacks are also launched by individuals and groups whose
activity is too often supported and directed by states.
Estonia’s digital services are integrated in large extent to the society. Without them it would be
impossible to function as a modern state, and this increases the impact that potential attacks have
on Nations security. Due to the connectivity between communications and information systems,
an interruption in one vital service may influence the availability of many others, thereby
endangering the functioning of the state as a whole. Cyber security and digital services are fields
where Estonia’s expertise is trusted on a global level, and Estonia is able to influence their
development internationally. Not only Estonian residents but also the constantly growing
community of international entrepreneurs related to Estonia depend on the quality and safety of
Estonian digital services. E-residency has created responsibilities and obligations for the state
also in relation to people who are not Estonian citizens and who do not physically live in the
Republic of Estonia.
Being responsible for guarding the European Union’s border, Estonia plays an important role in
maintaining the reliability of the Schengen area. Ineffective or non-existent control of the
internal borders of the Schengen area may be exploited to extend the reach of international
5