Problems of economic development of the Republic of Serbia due to many
years of economic sanctions and the destruction of vital economic facilities and
transport infrastructure during the NATO bombing has resulted in many negative
social phenomena, which are in their overall performance a significant risk factor in
the transition process. High rates of unemployment and poverty of a substantial
portion of the population, along with the presence of a large number of refugees
and internally displaced persons, are potential sources of serious social and
political tensions that can produce a situation of high risk. Highly-educated
personnel leaving the country, which is caused by the impossibility of adequate
employment and evaluation of work, reduces the prospects for faster economic
and any other recovery of the country by relying on its own resources.
Energy interdependence and vulnerability of infrastructure for production
and transportation of fuel, as well as the inevitable trend of attrition of nonrenewable energy resources, are the real threats to energy security and a real
challenge to stability and security of the Republic of Serbia.
Uneven economic and demographic development of the Republic of Serbia,
which was a strong source of crisis in the past, is still a security risk in this region.
Different levels of economic development of certain regions, in conjunction with
their demographic characteristics, cause the appearance of larger migrations of
population from underdeveloped to developed regions, from the regions of
extreme overpopulation caused by demographic expansion towards the areas with
an extreme depopulation. Demographic trends and migrations, in addition to social
problems and the growth of crime, can lead to increased instability and the
emergence of risks and threats to the security of the Republic of Serbia.
Unresolved status and difficult situation of refugees, displaced and
internally displaced persons from the territory of Croatia, the Republic of Bosnia
and Herzegovina and the Autonomous Province of Kosovo and Metohija, slow
implementation of their safe return and no guarantee of their survival, as well as
not resolving the fate of missing persons from those areas complicate the
normalization of relations in the territory of former Yugoslavia and represent a
potential source of instability in the region.
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