carry out terrorist acts in other parts of Georgian territory, as evidenced by the recent identification
of terrorist groups and the subsequent suppression of their activity.
Regular and severe human rights violations by the proxy regimes and the Russian occupation forces
in the occupied regions are alarming. Georgian citizens living in the occupied territories are
systematically persecuted because of their ethnicity, while attempts to artificially change the
demographic balance continue. Georgia is concerned about the threat that the occupation creates for
the ethnic and cultural identity of the Abkhaz.
The illegal economic activity of the Russian Federation and the exploitation of the natural resources
in the occupied territories result in critical environmental damage to these regions of Georgia.
2. The risk of renewed military aggression from Russia: Russia’s military aggression in August 2008
not only aimed at the occupation of Georgian territories and the international recognition of the
proxy regimes, but also sought to trigger a change on Georgia’s foreign policy and the violent
overthrow of its democratically elected government. The ruling political elite of the Russian
Federation view an independent and democratic Georgia as an important threat. Therefore, the
Russian Federation aims to turn Georgia into a failed state, to hinder the realization of Georgia’s
European and Euro-Atlantic choice, and to forcibly return Georgia to the Russian political orbit. The
presence of Russian military forces in the occupied Georgian territories, and the construction and
strengthening of military bases there, create a staging-ground for provocations and a bridgehead for a
possible renewed military aggression. The Russian Federation is in breach of the fundamental norms
of international law, fails to fulfill the Russian-Georgian Ceasefire Agreement of August 12, 2008, and
refuses to pledge not to attack Georgia. It blocks the work of the UN and OSCE missions in Georgia,
resists the implementation of the European Union Monitoring Mission’s mandate in the occupied
territories, and opposes the idea of creating an international peacekeeping/police mechanism.
Considering all this, there is a risk of renewed Russian aggression. However, international support for
Georgia, as well as the presence of the European Union Monitoring Mission on the ground, are
important deterrents to possible aggression.
3. Violation of the rights of internally displaced persons and refugees from the occupied territories:
The ethnic cleansing in the early 1990s and in 2008 resulted in the expulsion of approximately 80% of
the residents of these territories from their homes—a total of approximately 500,000 individuals,
about 261,000 of whom presently reside in the unoccupied part of Georgia.
The violation of the fundamental rights of the individuals forcibly evicted from the occupied
territories is a serious challenge for Georgia. It is an important priority for Georgia to protect the
rights of these people, including their right to live and own property in the occupied territories.
4. Conflicts in the Caucasus: The possible spillover of conflicts from neighboring countries is a threat
to Georgia.
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