2.8
From the perspective of regional security, we are
concerned about the possibility of deepening discord between
military-political alliances, and the member states they are
composed of, that impact the South Caucasus region. Equally
concerning is the potential weakening of those alliances and
the specter of hostility among such states, that could harm
Armenia’s interests. Particularly, the sale of arms to Azerbaijan
further jeopardizes regional peace and stability. Our attention
is also focused on possible political and military instability in
neighboring states.
2.9
Turkey’s policy towards Armenia is unneighborly. It
continues its blockade of Armenia, refusing to establish
diplomatic relations without preconditions, denying and, in
certain instances, justifying the Armenian Genocide.
Armenia is also
concerned about
a weakening
commitment to
democracy and
human rights in the
region and in the
world.
2.10 At the same time, Turkey’s military-political assistance to Azerbaijan further strengthens
the latter’s aspirations to resolve the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict by military means. Turkey’s
readiness for covert or overt intervention in the case of Azerbaijani-initiated military actions is
particularly problematic.
2.11
Turkey’s unlawful use of force against its neighboring states and nations in turn
jeopardizes the stability of the broader region, and increases the unpredictability of its possible
actions against Armenia.
2.12 The decline of democracy and human rights in Turkey and Azerbaijan has a detrimental
impact on their compliance with their international commitments, increasing the unpredictability
of these countries for Armenia.
2.13 Armenia’s security environment is also affected by processes underway in the Middle East,
which include, in particular, the expulsion of religious and ethnic minorities, the consolidation
and spread of religious radicalism, internal conflicts, wars of attrition, and non-traditional and
proxy warfare.
2.14 Terrorism and transnational organized crime, the transit and dissemination of weapons of
mass destruction, drug trafficking, money laundering, illegal migration and human trafficking
also pose threats to Armenia.
2.15 Domestic threats include current demographic trends negatively impacting Armenia’s
security and its sustainable social and economic development. A decline in the birth rate,
emigration, transformation of the population’s age structure, and uneven economic development
pose substantial challenges and threats to Armenia, particularly in the form of brain drain, a
reduced workforce, and an increasing burden on the social security system.
2.16 The increasing penetration of information communication technologies (ICTs) into every
aspect of society has resulted in both opportunities and challenges. Concurrently with the
development of the ICT sector, the security of the individual, society, and the state has become
more vulnerable, and therefore needs protection in both the information and cyber domains.
6 | NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGY OF RA