of a large magnitude could allow opportunistic actors to gain political, financial and
economic advantages in the international arena, resulting in weakening our societies.
37. The globalisation of financial resources. Financial systems, which handle the
most important resources of the planet, tend to be increasingly interconnected and not
related to specific states, sometimes resulting in a decrease of sovereignty in many
countries when having some difficulties managing a home crisis through traditional
means and in the increase number of actors involved in each specific crisis situation.
38. Local Identities. The progressive birth of local different groups or organisations
causes an increasing weakening and fragmentation of existing states, which are unable
to centrally manage the twenty-first century complex phenomenon. In some cases, this
weakness opens the way to non-state transnational religious or criminal organisations.
The violence and diffusion rate of such organisations have a significant impact on
the condition of regional or global security. The effects of such conflicts could lead
to attacks on critical infrastructures, to forced changes in the political equilibrium
and could jeopardise the flow of trade and energy. The consequences arising from the
possession of chemical, bacteriological, radiological or nuclear offensive tools are
particularly serious in these territories. Even the threat of using these kinds of weapons
could have serious political, social and economic consequences.
39. Decrease in defence investment. This phenomenon is common in the western
world while the opposite is true in the rest of the world, particularly in relation to
regional powers. For Western countries, the reduction in military spending is the result
of a widespread diminished awareness regarding the importance of the defence issues
compared to other economic and social problems. If this trend continues, the capacity
to prevent and deter will diminish in western countries, while the level of possible
risks and threats to security will increase, and the overall ability to defend both vital
and strategic interests and the values on which our democratic structures are based,
will be compromised.
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