6
proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and the spread of
terrorism. Energy security and control of scarce resources are
assuming trans-national proportions.
1.7
As part of the Southern Asian Region, India has
considerable interests in the areas stretching from West Asia
through Central Asia and South Asia to South East Asia. The
Indian Ocean region is of great importance to India and it
assumes strategic significance due to the high volume of
Indian and international trade transiting through the Indian
Ocean. Existing and emerging regional groupings give rise to
competitiveness with the attendant possibility of increasing
instability due to inter and intra-regional conflicts. The region
also includes a number of nuclear weapon or nuclear-capable
states. In addition, this region is witnessing an unprecedented
proliferation in small arms and narcotics trafficking which, in
turn, threaten the stability of states and societies. Trans-border
migration on economic grounds also raises serious security
concerns.
1.8
India is a member of the South Asian Association for
Regional Cooperation (SAARC), the Association for South
East Asian Nations Regional Forum (ARF) and the Indian
Ocean Rim Association for Regional Cooperation (IOR-ARC).
By virtue of her size and strategic location in the Indian Ocean
region, India is expected to play her rightful role to ensure
peace and stability in it.
The Economic Environment
1.9
With market forces playing an important role, economic
strength is likely to become the currency of power. National
economies are undergoing liberalisation to cater to
globalisation. The dominance of the developed world over the
global economy is, nonetheless, likely to continue. Even so,
China and India have been acknowledged as emerging
economic powers. Economic linkages and inter-dependence
amongst countries are likely to result in mutual security
becoming an important issue. Water, energy sources (mainly
oil) and even environmental issues may emerge as causes of
future conflict between states.