security interests, and that it has opposed Russia by challenging it through
many actions. Russia has mostly abandoned the cooperation-based security
thinking. Rather, it now challenges the European security system. Russia has
publicly promoted its goal of a sphere-of-influence-based security regime and
demonstrated the will and capacity to employ military force in prosecuting its
objectives. Russia’s leadership try to avert internal disorder, and have been
unable to reform the economy, which, in the short term, will suffer from energy
price fluctuations and, in the long term, from different structural problems.
Finland, for the sake of its security, must carefully monitor the military capabilities
and aspirations of the actors that impact our immediate surroundings, in
particular.
The picture of war has become more complex. In order to achieve political
objectives, political, economic and military pressure, forms of information and
cyber warfare, combinations of all of the above and other forms of hybrid
influencing, among other things, are used in a coordinated fashion on top of
the constantly developing military means. Influencing can rapidly begin already
in normal conditions. The goal is to instigate pressure, damage, uncertainty
and instability on the target. The line between internal and external security
becomes blurred and the early-warning period becomes shorter.
Nuclear weapons and their role in the use of force have returned to the security
policy agenda. Yet another threat is the proliferation of weapons of mass
destruction as well as associated hazardous materials and know-how. New
weapon technologies, especially missile defence systems and conventional
precision-guided weapons, and their significance receive increasing attention
in international relations.
A growing number of non-state actors have emerged alongside states. The
goals and modi operandi of some non-state actors pose a threat to international
security or the security of individual countries and their inhabitants, Finland
included. While terrorist organisations and networks are adept in changing
form and in taking advantage of other cross-border crime, they are also able to
utilise new technology such as IT networks and materials used in weapons of
mass destruction. Extremist ideologies such as violent extremism are often their
lifeblood. They breed in conditions plagued by social exclusion, unemployment
and negligible prospects for the future, a fragile or failed government, the
absence of a security structure which respects basic freedoms and human
rights as well as violence and inequality. The history and practices of the
ISIL (Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant) founded in Syria and Iraq are
characteristic examples of this.
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