‘fourth industrial revolution’. In addition to industrial and service production
these phenomena also have wide-ranging impact on societies in such areas
as employment and taxation systems as well as on the international status
of states and their mutual relations. Economic interdependency will further
increase.
Rather than a cheap workforce and capital, it is predicted that ideas will be
the drivers of success. The actors and societies that are able to generate
innovations, new products, services and business models will benefit from
digitalisation. In the new model for growth those who come up with the best
ideas will also reap the main benefits; this has already occurred in the field
of integrated digital platforms. Others must cope with a smaller share, which
will test societies’ capacity to adapt. In addition to the public authorities and
businesses technological development also benefits other non-state actors.
Questions associated with the cyber domain, digitalisation and cyber-security
included, have become increasingly pivotal in foreign, security and defence
policy.
Social media has rapidly become an inclusive and interactive instrument which
is reaching all corners of the world as fast as technology permits. Among other
things, social media is used to create cross-border communities, organise
campaigns, monitor and influence electoral processes, arrange crowdfunding
and challenge those in power. In social media individuals quickly rally around a
single issue – for and against it. Social media will gain increasing prominence
and this development will have entirely new kinds of impacts, both within and
across national borders.
Many global trends accelerate, especially, migration around the world. Different
combinations of increasing disparity in standards of living, unsatisfactory
respect for human rights, deteriorating living conditions and conflicts combined
with strong population growth, particularly in Africa, are the backdrop for the
refugee problem as well as migration in a wider sense. Migration to Europe is
on the rise. When uncontrolled, it also entails significant internal radicalisationinduced risks for the receiving countries, such as terrorism, xenophobic
extremism and crime. This, too, is concrete proof of the indivisibleness of
internal and external security.
There is the danger of increasing inequality caused by social and technological
reasons. It may contribute to social exclusion, the willingness to move abroad,
radicalisation and problems in the functioning of political systems.
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