Digital Nepal Impact- GDP Growth
30
26.7 26.70
20
27.98 28.45
29.37 30.58
3%
30.98
33.10
36.08
32.77 3%
3%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
10
1%
0
0%
2018
BAU
Incremental GDP growth
GDP ( in US$ billion)
40
0%
2019
2020
Digital Nepal
2021
2022
Incremental GDP Growth
Impact of ICT in job market across select verticals
E-commerce – Nepal’s e-commerce has been limited to the Capital and key urban centers, while
logistics challenges keep it out of rural areas. The e-commerce sector is still in its early stages, with
estimates to be US$25 million in 2017 and is experiencing rapid growth. Growth in e-commerce
platforms has the potential to accelerate FMCG, services and other small goods market, resulting in
SME growth and employment. Indian e-commerce industry growing at 41% CAGR is expected to add
1.45 million jobs by 2021which employed only 23,500 in 2012. More than 2/3 rd of the jobs will be in
logistics and warehousing which is available to semi-skilled and skilled workforce.
Growth in seller base will add another 10 million new jobs. It is estimated that one job in e-commerce
generates 3 jobs in allied sectors. The most important driving force for Indian e-commerce has been
growth in smaller cities and towns, which have emerged as both demand and supply centers.41
Daraz Nepal’s major e-commerce website stated that it aims to grow the online sellers from 1200 to
5000 during 2018-19. The indicative job impact has been observed to be of 1:4 ratio, where increase in
1 online seller creates 4 direct jobs and while 12 indirect jobs are created in support services as delivery,
customer services, warehousing etc. For a seller count of 5000, the potential impact on job market could
be more than 75,000 new jobs across different levels. Boost in e-commerce can drive homegrown IT
sector of Nepal, adding additional services jobs to the economy.
Information and Communication technology (ICT) - Growth in ICT sector has multi-dimensional
benefit for the economy. ICT inclusive of mobile, fixed line and internet is capable of boosting economy
across different areas. Growth in ICT coverage and integration across different business sectors can
boost in efficiency, bring in network effects and create enhanced logistics. IT-BPO services in Nepal
can expand further, which remains an untapped area. Digital platforms for agriculture can boost
production, improve supply chain and help farmers connect directly with markets.
Start-ups and App ecosystem- Nepal’s IT space has about 500 companies with most of them focused
on IT and ITES. Tech start-up scene in Nepal has been around for some time but has failed to catch
up. Key challenges being finance, overall customer base and tech readiness of customers. The sector
has started to grow with more focus from government and boost in the IT infrastructure. Startups can
be catalyst to Nepal’s tech-based job creation on the lines of neighboring India. In 2015, startups in
41
Impact of e-commerce on employment in India, Dec 2016, KPMG
37
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