Figure 5. Technology Adoption Curve
Innovators
2.5%
Early
Adopters
13.5%
Early Majority
34%
Late Majority
34%
Laggards
16%
network-based technology in a sustainable and, potentially, self-reinforcing manner is to follow the logic of the Technology Adoption Curve. That
way a relatively easy enticement of earlier adopters will increase the value
of such a technology to later comers and will, in turn, make it easier to attract the latter and sustain their interest in the technology. At the same
time, working against such laws hinders the reinforcing sustainable development and kick-starting of a virtuous circle of network-effects-based
development, in which an increasing user base attracts new users, and
new users make it more attractive for existing ones to stay connected. A
simplified representation of those opposite approaches is shown in the
graph on the next page43.
If ICTs, contrary to the preferred approach described above, were to
be first provided to the most remote and most challenging areas to the
people who need most support in using such tools and services, without such ICTs being available in less challenging areas, the beneficiar-
The Government considers that its’ primary role should
be to provide a direction to, enable, facilitate, and encourage development of the ICT sector, including via setting
appropriate policies.”
ies of such initiatives would not derive much value from them. Such beneficiaries would not have anyone to communicate to using such tools and
services, and not much content and applications to make such ICTs useful. Furthermore, in such a scenario there would be no indigenous support system that would ensure sustenance of implemented solutions and
maintenance of infrastructure, facilities and devices. Isolated projects in
very remote areas have small chances of success, and/or require very substantial recurrent resources leading to high costs for relatively moderate
benefits.
43
See the gap between the value and costs/effort for each of the two approaches.
Approaches and Principles
33