.
Chapter III
THREATS, RISKS AND VULNERABILITIES
46. Traditionally, threats, risks and vulnerabilities related to national defense and security
are assessed against some military concepts, but the current security environment calls upon
an extended approach, within which one could find, besides the security related issues, the
economic, social, political, technological and environment issues.
47. Threats represent capabilities, strategies, intentions or plans which may impact upon
the national security values, interests and goals.
48. Risks represent the probability of manifestation of an uncertain event, having direct or
indirect impact upon national security.
49. Vulnerabilities are consequences of some systemic disruptions or shortcomings, which
may be exploited or may contribute to the occurrence of a threat or of a risk.
50. The deterioration of the security situation at the international level, but especially at
the regional level, calls upon knowing the main threats, risks and vulnerabilities our country
confronts with, in the context of the occurrence and, possibly, development of a new form of
influence and constraint, as a result of a mixture of conventional and unconventional
components.
3.1. Threats
51. The actions performed to destabilize the Eastern vicinity generate major challenges
to the security of the Euro Atlantic environment, causing regional instability and possible
negative phenomena, amongst which we can mention migration, organized crime, and also
alteration of the economic growth potential.
52. The perpetuation of the frozen conflicts in the Black Sea Region and the
instability in the Western Balkans generate additional pressures for Romania. Inter‐
ethnical tensions and the regional imbalances in the states situated at the proximity may lead
to the unleash of some regional conflicts.
53. The distortions on the energetic markets and the competitive projects of some
state or non‐state actors alter Romania's efforts to provide a sufficient level of energetic
security.
54. The cyber threats initiated by hostile entities, state or non‐state, upon informational
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