● OVERVIEW OF 2024 attacks: Colonel Yuri Denisov, head of Unit 29 155, and his subordinates Nikolay Korchagin and Vitaly Shevchenko. In autumn 2024, Harju County Court placed the suspects, who reside in Russia, under international arrest warrants and detention orders in absentia at the request of the Estonian Prosecutor’s Office. This marks the first time Estonia has officially attributed state-sponsored cyberattacks to specific individuals. The attribution of cyberattacks is coordinated by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and aims to promote responsible state behaviour in cyberspace and hold actors accountable when necessary. ALLIES OF UKRAINE TARGETED At the same time, Estonia and nine other countries concluded Operation Toy Soldier, which linked Unit 29 155 to numerous cyberattacks against Ukraine and its NATO and EU allies. As part of this effort, the United States offered a Cyber operations are part of Russia’s hybrid warfare According to Margo Palloson, Director General of the Estonian Internal Security Service (KAPO), the objectives of GRU’s cyber cell, Unit 29 155, include gathering intelligence, causing reputational damage through the theft and leak of sensitive information, and systematic sabotage by destroying data and computer systems. While the GRU unit was officially linked to the 2020 cyberattacks, various Russian cyber intelligence units carry out operations against Estonia and other nations on an ongoing basis. The tools of Russian intelligence increasingly blend physical and cyber capabilities, making it likely that information obtained through cyberattacks could be used in physical operations. According to Russia’s military doctrine, cyber operations are a crucial component of hybrid warfare. Regardless of the methods employed, Russia’s hybrid attacks aim to impose its will on other nations, sow instability, instil fear and create confusion. 22 $10 million reward for the capture of six Russian citizens, including Denisov and Korchagin, who were also wanted by Estonia. Unit 29 155 is reportedly the third GRU unit to develop its own cyber capabilities. According to a US indictment, the unit’s primary focus in recent years has been on Ukraine. In early 2022, a month before Russia’s full-scale invasion, the unit launched the destructive WhisperGate malware attack, which targeted the Ukrainian government and law enforcement agencies, as well as emergency services. The attack employed destructive malware aimed not at taking control of systems but at rendering them entirely inoperable. Since the malware was disseminated via the services of a US-based company, the perpetrators could also be prosecuted in the United States. Globally, the unit’s primary objective has been to disrupt international aid to Ukraine, according to US government data. In NATO member states and other countries in Europe, Central Asia and Latin America, the unit has targeted government institutions and critical infrastructure, including banking, healthcare, transportation and energy sectors. Its activities have included defacing websites, mapping infrastructure and stealing data, which they subsequently either sold or leaked. Microsoft has codenamed this GRU cyber unit Cadet Blizzard, noting that it has also targeted IT service providers and software developers in Ukraine and other European countries to gain access to public-sector institutions through their supply chains. The methods employed by this GRU cyber group are not necessarily sophisticated or advanced. Both in Estonia and elsewhere, they have exploited known security vulnerabilities, such as those in email and web servers, and used stolen user credentials to access their targets. The unit has leveraged tools widely used in the cybersecurity community to identify and exploit vulnerabilities, exfiltrate data, and cover their tracks. LESSONS FROM THE INCIDENT In recent years, the global cybersecurity landscape has become increasingly complex due to rising geopolitical tensions and new technological developments, which state-sponsored CYBER SECURITY IN ESTONIA 2025

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