• Tier 1 - Immediate Significant Threats. These are high-probability, high-impact events. They are the clear and present dangers. • Tier 2 - Substantial Threats. These are both likely and relatively high-impact, but are not as severe as Tier 1 Threats. • Tier 3 - Significant Potential Risks. These are high-impact, but low-probability. • Tier 4 - Future Risks. These are threats where the probability and impact cannot be assessed at this stage. TIER 1: IMMEDIATE SIGNIFICANT THREATS TIER 3: SIGNIFICANT POTENTIAL RISKS TIER 2: SUBSTANTIAL THREATS TIER 4: FUTURE RISKS 2.6 This prioritisation of CARICOM risks and threats help policy makers make rational choices about investing in the capabilities needed to protect the Region and Member States. 2.7 The results from the Risk and Threat Assessment show that the Region faces threats from a growing and increasingly diverse set of sources. 22

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