. Chapter II INTERNATIONAL SECURITY ENVIRONMENT ASSESSMENT 26. The current security environment within which Romania defends and promotes its values, principles, strategic and security goals and interests is characterized by complexity and dynamism, as a consequence of having revised the strategic and military stance of some states as well as the political, economic and technological interdependences caused by globalization. 27. In perspective, the security environment will be further on influenced by multiple challenges, some of those having predictable and linear manifestations, representing consequences of some strategies aimed at by various state or non‐state actors on long term, while others, on the contrary, have an unpredictable non‐linear and profoundly disruptive character, which may generate strategic surprises. 28. The European environment is undertaking a demographic transformation process with strategic implications. Demographic transformations are verifiable at statistical level, those will persist for a long time, and their implications are both positive and negative. This type of systemic transformations will impact differently upon the European states and the regions adjacent to those, while their impact upon the European security and Romania's security will be a distinct one, long term speaking. 2.1. The Global Security Environment 29. At the global level, the security environment is undertaking an ongoing transformation process, which reflects mainly upon highlighting interdependences and unpredictability within international relations system and the difficulty to delimitate classical risks and threats from the asymmetric and hybrid ones. 30. On medium and long term, the evolutions regarding the security environment will be dominated by complex trends, whose knowledge is, for our country, of paramount importance: ● redefining geo‐strategical "games"; ● rapid development of informational technology; ● the resurgence of nationalism and extremism; ● ethnical and religious fragmentation and ideological radicalization; ● adapting critical infrastructures in relation to the occurrence of calamities, energetic crisis, cyber attacks, pandemics. 31. The high level of uncertainty of the evolutions in the security environment, correlated with internal and external factors which influence Romania's route, impose new ways of 11

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