JIHADIST AND ETHNO-NATIONALIST TERRORISM AND VIOLENT EXTREMISM | SITUATION
Core al-Qaeda wants to regain its appeal
The most recent attack on European soil for
which al-Qaeda claimed responsibility dates
back to January 2015; it was targeted at the
editorial offices of ‘Charlie Hebdo’ in Paris
(France). The fact that al-Qaeda has largely
failed to carry out any successful high-profile
actions against Western interests has weakened
its position vis-à-vis competing jihadist groups.
Core al-Qaeda's image was further weakened
when Jabhat al-Nusra distanced itself from it in
summer 2016. While ‘Islamic State’ has lost its
caliphate, core al-Qaeda is working to recover
the considerable appeal it once had in the glo
bal jihadist movement. To this end, it is trying
to establish Hamza Bin Laden, the son of its
killed former leader Osama Bin Laden, as a future leadership figure.
Provinces and affiliates of ‘Islamic State’ and
al-Qaeda
The degree of cooperation between the core
structures of ‘Islamic State’ and al-Qaeda and
their respective regional affiliates varies. The
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SI TUATIO N R E P O RT 2018 | F I S
affiliates essentially have a high degree of autonomy and for the most part pursue a local
agenda. A few affiliates, however, have both
the ambition and the necessary capabilities
and resources to pursue international jihadist
goals. The local affiliates of ‘Islamic State’ in
Egypt, for example, not only carry out regular attacks on Egyptian security forces, Copts
and other Muslims, but also occasionally attack international targets, an example being
the bombing of a Russian passenger plane in
October 2015.
North and West Africa
In Egypt, the Maghreb and West Africa, several jihadist groups have pledged allegiance either to ‘Islamic State’ or to al-Qaeda / al-Qaeda
in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM). Libya continues to play an important role for ‘Islamic State’,
despite the complete loss of territories which
had been temporarily under the latter's control.
Whereas ‘Islamic State’ has lost all the territories it controlled in Libya, AQIM has succeeded in maintaining its influence in parts of Libya.
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