JIHADIST AND ETHNO-NATIONALIST TERRORISM AND VIOLENT EXTREMISM | SITUATION
State
‘Islamic State’ wants to be a state in the literal sense of
the word. This ultimate strategic objective still exists,
even though its first attempt to establish a state was
crushed after about three and a half years, at the end
of 2017.
Armed group
In organisational terms, ‘Islamic State’ should also be
viewed as an armed group. The open armed struggle
has long contributed to its sense of identity and cohesion. With the break-up of its state-like structures,
the military units which previously operated openly
have been destroyed or driven underground.
Terrorist actor
‘Islamic State’ has never abandoned its policy of
systematically spreading fear and terror: terrorism
remains its primary method. With the destruction of
the caliphate, the relative importance of this aspect
is growing, as in the early days of the organisation.
The terrorist activities of ‘Islamic State’ and of the
supporters and sympathisers inspired by it take place
almost all around the globe. ‘Islamic State’ now also
claims responsibility for attacks which it did not carry
out itself.
Regional power
‘Islamic State’ consists essentially of a strategic leadership comprising a small number of men, together
with various provinces and affiliated terrorist groups
and cells in Syria and Iraq, Africa and Asia. The destruction of the caliphate in the Levant, where its
provinces in Syria and Iraq had temporarily formed
a contiguous structure, has done nothing to change
this fundamental arrangement. However, ‘Islamic
State’'s influence as a regional power declined significantly in the second half of 2017. Nonetheless, its
affiliates outside its core territory continue to operate
independently of developments in Syria and Iraq. As
a result, ‘Islamic State’ still exerts influence in numerous conflict areas worldwide.
Inspiration
Through its clever use of the information sphere, ‘Islamic State’, together with its local supporters and
sympathisers, manages to inspire people all over the
world to take action. This includes carrying out terrorist attacks, disseminating propaganda or providing
support through donations. However, toward the end
of 2017 there was a significant decline in the quality
and quantity of its multilingual propaganda products.
‘Islamic State’ has lost much of its former appeal.
Utopia
The placeless and timeless utopia of an Islamic world
state, the caliphate, in which Muslims can live according to Islamic law, is not a new idea. However, ‘Islamic
State’ succeeded in giving this utopia a new form.
Despite major international opposition, it was able to
attract mass support and to establish and finance a
rudimentary state structure, which it also managed
to defend and administer for a certain period of time.
Furthermore, outside Syria and Iraq, numerous jihadist organisations pledged allegiance to ‘Islamic State’,
thereby extending its influence and power. Unlike
al-Qaeda, ‘Islamic State’ went at least some way toward making the utopia reality.
SIT UAT ION R E PORT 2 0 1 8 | FIS
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