This challenge will not be unique to the
UK, creating mutual vulnerability for all
those who rely on cyberspace.
37. Cyberspace will become more
contested as state and non-state
actors seek strategic advantage in and
through cyberspace. Cyber operations
will become increasingly important to
power projection below the threshold
of armed conflict and in pre-conflict
situations. Future conflicts will also
see an increase in the use of cyber
capabilities. For the UK to act effectively
we will require higher levels of cyber
resilience in our defence capabilities.
Cyber operations will need to be
integrated with other force elements
to defeat threats and enable wider
defence activity. Space will increasingly
become a domain of activity, as set
out in the National Space Strategy,
opening up new areas of risk but also
creating opportunities for the UK to
exploit its cyber capabilities to achieve
advantage in new ways.18
38. Debates over the rules governing
cyberspace will increasingly become
a site of systemic competition
between great powers, with a clash
of values between countries that want
to preserve a system based on open
societies and systemic competitors like
China and Russia who are promoting
greater state control as the only way
to secure cyberspace. This will put
pressure on the free and open internet,
as nation states, big technology firms
and other actors promote competing
approaches to technical standards and
internet governance.
18
HMG, National Space Strategy (2021)
30 National Cyber Strategy
39. This will be exacerbated by
competition for control of a rapidly
evolving technological landscape.
As digital technology is integrated
into our everyday lives, businesses
and infrastructure, some technologies
are becoming genuinely critical to
the functioning of society. Power will
increasingly be held by countries that
have a strategic advantage in science
and technology and access to the
data that drives innovation, enabling
them to exert influence over others
and to shape global standards in ways
that best fit their own economic and
political interests.
40. Emerging technologies such as
digital twins, quantum computing, and
large-scale autonomous systems – and
the information they generate – will
create new opportunities and risks
and open up new cyber capabilities
for attackers and defenders, just as
cryptocurrencies are being exploited
by ransomware gangs. Leadership
in technology is becoming more
distributed, and the UK will not be able
to develop sovereign capability in all
the technologies that matter. States
and companies make use of technical
standards to promote their own
interests and we risk key technologies
being shaped by those who do not
share our values.
41. For over a decade the UK has
pursued an ambitious national cyber
security strategy and sustained
a significant level of investment,
establishing the country as a global
leader in cyber. As evident from the
analysis above, significant challenges
and opportunities remain. The following
sections outline our national response.
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