The United Nations
Security Council meets
to discuss North
Korea. The rules-based
international order has
served the world well
since the end of the
Second World War, but
is now under strain.
There are also uncertainties about the
global economy, fuelled by major trade
tensions. While countries like Vanuatu
have little direct influence on these
developments, they do underline the
importance of maintaining a strong
and resilient economy, to guard against
external shocks. The Global Financial
Crisis had ripple effects for years.
Vanuatu, as with all countries, needs to
be flexible, and to assess and respond
to this fluid environment as best it can.
It is also important, as competition for
influence grows, to guard against those
who seek to exert inappropriate influence
and potentially undermine sovereign
institutions.
The Asia Pacific region has been
undergoing profound economic
transition. Strategic rivalry has also
increased. China has emerged as a global
power, and the United States, while still
the largest power globally, is seeing a
shift in its long-held strategic dominance
in East Asia. Meanwhile tensions around
the Pacific Rim, such those centred on the
South China Sea, and North Korea, have
highlighted the potential for instability in
the region, should they escalate.
At the same time, other trends are
changing our world. Globalisation
and technology are changing the way
we communicate and do business,
although with an ever-growing threat of
malicious cyber activity. Transnational
and organised crime is becoming more
sophisticated, while profit shifting and
other forms of tax evasion across borders
pose increasing challenges for national
governments. Terrorism is a constant
reality in some parts of the world, and as
the brutal attack in Christchurch in 2019
demonstrated, no country is immune, no
matter how safe it normally is. Climate
change and environmental degradation
and the increased demand for food, water
and energy carry with them the risk of
political, economic and social disruption.
Vanuatu will have to navigate more
turbulent times.
17
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